SARATOGA RACE COURSE: Analysis, Selections, And Bankroll (6/9/24)

BANKROLL

BANKROLL: $243

As we finish out an incredible week of racing at Saratoga, here’s a reminder: Enjoy things like this. Not every track is celebrating right now.

Golden Gate Fields, about a 20-minute drive from my home in Northern California, runs its last card today. For multiple reasons, this did not need to happen. However, a venue that once welcomed legends like Noor and Citation, plus more contemporary stars like Lost in the Fog, Shared Belief, and Rombauer, is set to close up shop as 1/ST Racing further consolidates its business to Gulfstream and Santa Anita.

If you want to read more about the consequences of this move, Dan Ross and Steve Anderson wrote fantastic articles for the TDN and Daily Racing Form, respectively. For now, one last word before I reconnect with you in July: If racing fails in California, it can fail anywhere. Support what the Northern California fairs are doing, this summer and beyond, and help us protect a circuit that deserves far, far better than it’s getting.

SATURDAY’S RESULTS: After a lot of second-place finishes by top picks in the pick box, Measured Time saved the day. My $36 Grand Slam ticket connected for $125.60, and a $14 win bet returned $57.40.

SUNDAY’S PLAY: I’ve got two plays for this section before we close up shop for a month. First, I’ll punch a cold $20 double starting in the third with #1 ANTONIO OF VENICE and finishing with #6 SPEIGHTFUL LILY in the fourth. Next, we’ll go to the seventh, where I’ll have a $20 win bet on #10 ROZAY SUMMER.

TOTAL WAGERED: $40.

Winners and Whiners is your home for the best sports betting promos on the market. Check out expert handicapping picks for all major sports, including baseball, basketball, hockey, and football!

SELECTIONS/ANALYSIS

Best Bet: Rozay Summer, Race 7
Longshot: Sunday Girl, Race 11

R1

Awakened
Freddy Flintshire
Abaan

#4 AWAKENED (9/2): Comes back to Saratoga, the site of his greatest triumph. He won last year’s Grade 1 Jonathan Sheppard at this route, and unlike many in here, he’s shown he doesn’t need Lasix in order to run well; #6 FREDDY FLINTSHIRE (7/2): Makes his first start in 11 months but has shown an affinity for this course. Trainer Keri Brion is one of the top conditioners on the jump circuit, and this one will do his best running late; #5 ABAAN (5/2): Switched to the steeplechase ranks last summer and has reeled off four wins in a row working his way up the class ladder. This is another step up, and the lack of Lasix is a concern, but perhaps he’s a star on the rise.

R2

Dubb entry
Emerald Forest
Kneedeepinsnow

DUBB ENTRY (5/2): I prefer #1A EXCELLENT TIMING, who chased much better horses in a stakes race last time out and drops way down the class ladder for aggressive connections. He seems like the controlling speed, and I think he’s a wire-to-wire threat; #2 EMERALD FOREST (5-1): Is another class-dropper, and in this case, he’s coming back to what’s probably the right level. His last two have come against tough optional claiming foes, but his last three races against straight claimers have been very good and Javier Castellano sees fit to ride back; #7 KNEEDEEPINSNOW (3-1): Was once one of the better sprinters in the country and ran second in the 2022 Vanderbilt behind Jackie’s Warrior. However, he hasn’t won in nearly two years, and while his rest race crushes these, the presence of just one workout since his last start in mid-April is a bit of a red flag.

R3

Antonio of Venice
Elysian Meadows
Doc Sullivan

#1 ANTONIO OF VENICE (6/5): Sure seems like the controlling speed in the Mike Lee and comes in off of two impressive victories at this level downstate. When this barn gets horses on the right track, they tend to stay there, and assuming things stay dry, I think he’ll be tough to beat; #3 ELYSIAN MEADOWS (6-1): Has run against open stakes company in his last three starts and gets a bit of class relief. He also cuts back to one turn, which is probably his best game, and he’d benefit if someone keeps my top pick honest early on; #4 DOC SULLIVAN (5/2): Comes in off a win at Aqueduct and chased my top pick two back at this level. Castellano rides back off the last-out score, and perhaps he’s improving with experience, but he seems like a better horse with Lasix, and that makes his likely price a bit tough to swallow.

R4

Speightful Lily
Scoring Chance
Mysaria

#6 SPEIGHTFUL LILY (1-1): Was very impressive first time out and didn’t run badly in her first try against winners. She’s been training well since shipping up to Saratoga, and I don’t think she runs up against any world-beaters in this spot; #8 SCORING CHANCE (8-1): Cuts back to seven furlongs, a distance she showed a fondness for in her first-out score at Aqueduct. I think you can make some excuses for each of her last two tries, and Flavien Prat hopping aboard is a big plus; #9 MYSARIA (20-1): Exits a failed turf experiment that may drive her price up considerably. Her dirt races downstate haven’t been terrible, and a repeat of either the two-back or three-back efforts would give her a shot to hit the board at a big number.

R5

Dancinginthepark
Az U Chase Me
Malibu Margarita

#7 DANCINGINTHEPARK (8-1): Gets a reluctant nod in a race where I truly don’t love any runner. Unlike many in here that have had lots of chances, this one is a first-time starter. He’s got some bottom-side turf pedigree, and the presence of John Velazquez may be a clue; #5 AZ U CHASE ME (9/2): Comes back to the NY-bred ranks, where he ran some of his best races late last year. His expedition to Florida didn’t go well, but this sure seems like the right level and he’s shown he can pass others late; #2 MALIBU MARGARITA (10-1): Tried to get on turf last time out, but the race was moved to the main track. He’s a son of Malibu Moon and a Frost Giant mare, so there’s reason to think he’ll like the grass, and Prat riding back is a positive.

R6

Drake’s Passage
Dr Ardito
Sheriff Bianco

#2 DRAKE’S PASSAGE (7/5): Goes second off the bench in the Commentator and should sit an ideal trip. There isn’t much early speed in here at all, and that means the winner of last year’s Albany at this route could get very comfortable in the opening stages; #3 DR ARDITO (5-1): Comes back to the NY-bred ranks after a dud in the Grade 3 Westchester against much better horses. He won last year’s Evan Shipman out of the chute, and I’d like him a lot more if there was more early zip in this field; #1 SHERIFF BIANCO (6-1): Hasn’t won in a long, long time, but has hit the board in 25 of 30 lifetime starts and probably needed his last start (which was shorter than his preferred trip). He was second in last year’s Empire Classic at this distance, and his usual effort could get him a big piece of this.

R7

Rozay Summer
Rainingatthebeach
Tour Jete

#10 ROZAY SUMMER (4-1): Debuted with a fourth-place finish at Tampa Bay Downs and takes a big drop in class at second asking for Christophe Clement. She goes from an open maiden special weight event to a state-bred maiden claimer, and if she’s ready to run off a three-month break, she’s strictly the one to beat; #8 RAININGATTHEBEACH (10-1): Responded to a drop in class when second in an off-the-turf event last month. She’s had some gate issues, but the blinkers go on, Prat stays on, and perhaps she’ll move forward if this stays on the lawn; #6 TOUR JETE (6-1): Ran well to be second in her debut, then lost all chance at the break in a $500,000 stakes race. She hasn’t been seen since and comes back in a maiden claimer, which is puzzling, but the turf pedigree is certainly there, Irad Ortiz, Jr., has been attracted to ride, and she’s got every chance if she’s ready to run.

R8

Fingal’s Cave
Bustin Bay
Venti Valentine

#8 FINGAL’S CAVE (2-1): Gets two things she’ll appreciate in the Critical Eye: Class relief and two turns. She’s been running against graded stakes competition going shorter downstate and is 2-for-2 at this route. Add in a recent five-furlong bullet drill, and I think she’s a formidable favorite; #9 BUSTIN BAY (4-1): Likes the Spa and is an easy horse to root for given her consistency and longevity. She’s won 13 of 43 starts, banked more than $740,000 in career earnings, and has plenty of tactical speed. I’m not sure two turns is quite what she wants, but she does have a win at this distance; #2 VENTI VALENTINE (3-1): Hasn’t won since October, but ran second in the Serena’s Song at Monmouth against open company and won a stakes race here last summer. This is another that seems to run pretty much the same race every time out, and that sort of effort gives her a chance in here.

R9

The Paddock Pastor
Miracle Mike
Slapintheface

#2 THE PADDOCK PASTOR (6-1): Almost certainly needed his last-out effort, given that it was his first start since November. He should get much more pace to chase in this spot, and Irad rides back when he likely had several options in this wide-open allowance event; #3 MIRACLE MIKE (10-1): Got his nose down last time out and looks much better if you simply toss all the dirt races. He’ll benefit from the likely race shape, and he’s another that should be heard from in the late stages; #5 SLAPINTHEFACE (8-1): Hasn’t run since November, but turned in several sharp efforts in 2023 and has enough tactical speed to sit a stalking trip. That could give him first run going into the far turn, and that would make him the one to catch.

R10

Tough Street (MTO)
Silver Skillet
Overacting

#1 SILVER SKILLET (2-1): Won here twice a year ago and gets reunited with Joel Rosario, who piloted her to both of those victories. I can excuse her 2024 debut easily enough, as that was her first race since a competitive fourth in the Grade 3 Pebbles; #8 OVERACTING (9/2): Has yet to run a bad race in four lifetime starts and goes second off the bench for Chad Brown, who excels with similar stock. Her 2024 debut downstate was a winning one, and a step forward from that would give her a big chance; #5 MARVELOUS MAUDE (5/2): Was a distant third against open company last time out and returns to NY-bred competition here. She’ll take plenty of money, and she does have a win over this turf course, but I can’t help thinking she’s just a bit better downstate.

R11

Sunday Girl
Caldwell Luvs Gold
La Banquera

#4 SUNDAY GIRL (8-1): Is a perfect 2-for-2 to this point and has yet to be seriously challenged. The third-place finisher from her last-out score in an April stakes race came back to win, and I think this one presents some real value at or near the morning line price; #3 CALDWELL LUVS GOLD (6-1): Started her career with two wins at the Spa last summer, and I’m drawing a line straight through the last-out turf experiment. She’s a dirt horse, and she’ll likely get plenty of pace to chase over her favorite track; #5 LA BANQUERA (4-1): Dueled throughout in a swiftly-run first-out score and takes a significant class jump here. However, I like seeing a horse show heart on debut, and she figures to once again be prominent early.

R12

Spirit of St Louis
City Man
Conman

#1 SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS (8/5): Has been managed very well by his connections en route to six wins and two seconds in eight tries. He comes in on a three-race win streak, including one against open company, and he’s a logical favorite in the race named for this handicapper’s old stomping grounds, the Kingston; #9 CITY MAN (5/2): Hasn’t been since in almost eight months, but he’s shown he can run well fresh and that he loves this turf course. He’s a multiple graded stakes winner with Christophe Clement and Joel Rosario in his corner, and he merits respect; #7 CONMAN (30-1): Is a contender to blow up the exotics at a big price. He almost certainly needed the last-out try at Aqueduct and won an open stakes race at Woodbine last summer. John Velazquez rides for Mark Casse, and if you’re looking for a longshot to throw into exactas and trifectas, I think this is the one you want.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE: Analysis, Selections, And Bankroll (6/8/24; BELMONT STAKES DAY)

BANKROLL

BANKROLL: $110

Saturday is a big day at Saratoga. The 14-race extravaganza headlined by the Belmont Stakes is a history-making event, and as a racing fan, I’m very much looking forward to it (even if the first post time is before 8 am out here in California; pass the caffeine, please!).

What I hope, though, is that NYRA does not use any successes this week to justify extending the annual Saratoga meet. Doing that, I think, kills the golden goose that lays the golden egg. The appeal of Saratoga is that it’s different, and that the town comes alive for two months after spending the previous 10 months waiting for the circuit to come back.

I don’t have any insight on if that’s being considered or not. However, I do hope decision-makers keep Saratoga feeling like Saratoga, in as many ways as humanly possible, for as long as humanly possible.

FRIDAY’S RESULTS: It was a good day in the pick box, but not so much here. El Capi sizzled through insane early fractions and had nothing left late. We dropped $50.

SATURDAY’S PLAY: With the fields as big as they are, I’ll take a stab at the Grand Slam, which starts in the eighth race and features the four Grade 1 races before the Belmont. My $2 ticket goes as follows: 1,7 with 2,9,12 with 2,5,6 with 9. The goal is to extract some value out of #9 MEASURED TIME in the payoff leg, the Grade 1 Manhattan. In addition, I’ll have a $14 win bet on Measured Time, too.

TOTAL WAGERED: $50.

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SELECTIONS/ANALYSIS

Best Bet: Prince of Monaco, Race 8
Longshot: Sosua Summer, Race 9

R1

General Partner
Vespucci
Quick to Accuse

#3 GENERAL PARTNER (5/2): Is entered on Friday, but I hope he runs here, as this hits me as a much easier spot. This colt ran second in the Grade 1 Champagne last year before chasing Fierceness in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile, and he’s worked well ahead of his 2024 debut; #7 VESPUCCI (10-1): Stretches back out to a mile after finishing third in a sprint at Monmouth, and I think this is his preferred trip. His three-back loss was an absolute heartbreaker, and he ran into several next-out winners two back; #5 QUICK TO ACCUSE (7/2): Has won two in a row since going to the Brad Cox barn and takes a significant step up in class here. Both of those victories came against state-breds, and this one’s against open company.

R2

Rice entry (MTO)
Lady de Berry
Eclipse entry

#5 LADY DE BERRY (4-1): Looked like a legitimate prospect late last year, when she broke her maiden at Keeneland before running second in the Grade 3 Jimmy Durante at Del Mar. She hasn’t raced since, but she’s working consistently for Chad Brown and seems like an overlay at the morning line price; ECLIPSE ENTRY (7/2): I prefer #1A SOURCE, who has a big chance despite a terrible post. She won first time out in France late last year and attracts Frankie Dettori (who should absolutely be enshrined in the Hall of Fame across the street, by the way…) for her North American debut; #11 AGRA (8-1): Is one of two Bill Mott trainees in here, and she makes her second start off the bench here. She’s improved since stretching out in distance over the winter and may be able to relax a bit beneath John Velazquez.

R3

Awesome Native
Subrogate
Full Screen

#6 AWESOME NATIVE (4-1): Is a deep closer in a race full of early speed and comes in off of several strong drills. The switch to a low-percentage barn is a concern, but if you subscribe to the notion that pace makes the race, he seems very, very dangerous; #5 SUBROGATE (5-1): Is 2-for-2 in dirt sprints, and it’s possible they’ve figured out what he wants to do after a few route experiments early on. His 2024 debut last time out was a good win, and this barn does great work with a small amount of stock; #8 FULL SCREEN (7/2): Has a frightening aversion to winning, with zero victories in the last two calendar years. However, he exits a few fast races against classy horses, the cutback in distance should help him, and he seems like a must-use in exactas and trifectas.

R4

Gun Pilot
Ninetyprcentmaddie
Accretive

#5 GUN PILOT (1-1): Earned his first Grade 1 win in the Churchill Downs on Derby Day and looms large in what hits me as a subpar renewal of the Grade 2 True North. He’s developed very nicely in his 4-year-old season, and unlike many in here, he can pass others late; #1 NINETYPRCENTMADDIE (8-1): Merits a long look in the exotics at a bit of a price given his consistency and late-running style. He ran a fast-closing second in the Grade 3 Runhappy downstate and should get plenty of pace to chase in here; #4 ACCRETIVE (5-1): May have turned into a bit of a hanger, as he was probably supposed to win last time out downstate. Still, his best race from a speed figure standpoint makes him a major player, and toss Chad Brown in a big spot at your own peril.

R5

Casa Creed
Carl Spackler
Talk of the Nation

#2 CASA CREED (9/5): Is a local favorite given his back-to-back wins in the Grade 1 Fourstardave, and he looks tough in the Grade 3 Poker. This is a strong bunch, but he’s 4-for-6 over this turf course, has shown versatility, and should be ready off a bit of a freshening; #3 CARL SPACKLER (2-1): Presents the biggest challenge to my top pick and comes in on a three-race win streak. Most recently, he came off the bench to win the Opening Verse at Churchill, and he could be in position to improve off of that effort; #7 TALK OF THE NATION (7/2): Ran second behind my second choice last time out and has fired every time he’s run on the grass. This isn’t an easy spot, but he looks like the main pace factor, and that could make him dangerous.

R6

Bendoog
Crupi
Time for Trouble

#8 BENDOOG (2-1): Takes a significant jump in class to run in the Grade 2 Suburban, but he sure seems like the only horse that may want to go early. He got a perfect trip last time out downstate, and if another materializes here, he could prove tough to catch; #7 CRUPI (3-1): Didn’t do much running in the Group 1 Dubai World Cup, but ran several strong races in a row before that (including a third-place finish in the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup). He took a little while to come around, but he’s turned into a strong older horse for Hall of Fame conditioner Todd Pletcher; #5 TIME FOR TROUBLE (15-1): Has picked up minor awards against graded stakes foes in each of his last two outings, and I think he’ll relish the added distance he gets here. He ran third in the Grade 3 Essex two back, and I think that may very well have been a better group (that day’s winner, First Mission, came right back to win another graded stakes race).

R7

Idiomatic
Pretty Mischievous
Randomized

#5 IDIOMATIC (3/5): Came back running to romp in the Grade 1 La Troienne, and she’ll see her seventh straight score in the Grade 1 Ogden Phipps. The pace scenario may challenge her a bit, and she won’t be any sort of a price, but her usual race beats these (and that’s not a small statement, because this is a good group); #3 PRETTY MISCHIEVOUS (6-1): Chased the champ last time out in her first race since September, so there’s every reason to think she needed that effort. She should get more pace to chase, and on her best day, this three-time Grade 1 winner can fire a big shot; #1 RANDOMIZED (6-1): Was a distant second in the Grade 2 Ruffian last month, but that was her first start since a near-miss in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff last November. She won the Grade 1 Alabama over this surface as a 3-year-old, and the recent, swift workout here indicates she’s thriving in upstate New York.

R8

Prince of Monaco
Book’em Danno
Reasoned Analysis

#7 PRINCE OF MONACO (7/2): Ships across the country for Bob Baffert and cuts back to seven furlongs for his 2024 debut in the Grade 1 Woody Stephens. He went 3-for-3 at sprint distances last year, including a win in the Grade 1 Del Mar Futurity, and his work tab indicates he’s ready to run here; #1 BOOK’EM DANNO (9/2): Went 4-for-5 stateside before shipping to Saudi Arabia, where he was run down by eventual Kentucky Derby third-place finisher Forever Young. This seven-furlong trip should hit him right between the eyes, and he’s a major player if he can work out a trip from the inside post; #6 REASONED ANALYSIS (15-1): Turned in an eye-catching performance with his winning move in the Bay Shore downstate. That was against a weaker group, yes, but it’s not like they flew up front and the race fell apart. If the frontrunners go too fast early, this is the one they’ll need to deal with late.

R9

Arzak
Mischief Magic
Sosua Summer

#2 ARZAK (9/2): Has won three of his last four, with the lone defeat coming in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, and he merits a long look in a power-packed renewal of the Grade 1 Jaipur. His last-out win in the Grade 2 Shakertown was a good one, and he’s run well at this route in the past; #12 MISCHIEF MAGIC (8-1): Has picked up checks in a pair of graded stakes races this year and gets reunited with first-call rider William Buick here. He’s also been gelded since his last start, which could result in a step forward for a horse that’s already a Grade 1 winner; #9 SOSUA SUMMER (20-1): Ran a clunker in the Shakertown, but he returns to his favorite turf course, one where he’s 3-for-3 at this route. He’ll certainly get a pace to chase, and at this price, I absolutely need to throw him in.

R10

White Abarrio
National Treasure
Hoist the Gold

#6 WHITE ABARRIO (6/5): Had a terrible trip to Saudi Arabia, where he was beaten 15 lengths in the Group 1 Saudi Cup. However, his run last year included a romp in the Grade 1 Whitney over this track, he’s training forwardly, and he’s the one to beat in the Grade 1 Met Mile; #2 NATIONAL TREASURE (8/5): Won last year’s Preakness and annexed the Pegasus World Cup in January before finishing fourth in Saudi Arabia. This one-mile trip should suit him, and if he’s allowed to get comfortable early, he could lead them a long way; #5 HOIST THE GOLD (15-1): Didn’t break well in the Churchill Downs last time out, where he was fifth behind True North favorite Gun Pilot. If he breaks well, he’ll definitely be a pace factor, and I think he’s better than what he showed last time out.

R11

Measured Time
Program Trading
Nations Pride

#9 MEASURED TIME (7/2): Most recently ran fourth in the Group 1 Dubai Turf against a world-class group. He’s already a Group 1 winner, he’s done very little wrong with five wins in seven lifetime starts, and if he ships well, he seems like the one to beat in the Grade 1 Manhattan; #5 PROGRAM TRADING (5/2): Came back running with a win in the Grade 1 Turf Classic on the Kentucky Derby undercard, running his career record to 5-for-6. He won a Grade 1 here last year, and if he takes a step forward second off the bench, he could absolutely do it again; #7 NATIONS PRIDE (9/2): Is the field’s leader in frequent flyer miles, with wins in five countries across three continents. One of them was in the Grade 1 Saratoga Derby back in 2022, and I think he needed his run in the Grade 2 Man o’ War downstate off of a six-month break.

R12

Mystik Dan
Sierra Leone
Honor Marie

#3 MYSTIK DAN (5-1): Pulled off an upset in the Kentucky Derby and ran credibly when second in the Preakness two weeks later. He’s emerged as a consistent, versatile horse who can run well with any type of trip, which could come in handy in the Belmont Stakes; #9 SIERRA LEONE (9/5): Has displayed tons of ability and nearly ran down Mystik Dan in the Derby, but he was compromised by lots of contact. It’s not the first time he’s made his own trouble, and while his best race wins this, his temperament makes him difficult to trust at a short price; #8 HONOR MARIE (12-1): Never had a chance in Kentucky after being compromised by a terrible start. He was a “buzz” horse going into that race, he’s trained well since, and he should get plenty of pace to run at. If you liked him at 14-1 five weeks ago, you’ll likely get a similar price here.

R13

In All My Dreams
Bond entry
Top of the Table

#4 IN ALL MY DREAMS (7/2): Ran very well in her debut for a barn whose first-time starters aren’t usually fully-cranked. She made up ground in a race with a very slow early pace and was more than three lengths clear of the third-place finisher. Any sort of improvement would make her tough in here; #1 ASSISI (15-1): Was the third-place finisher in that aforementioned event at Aqueduct, and she ran fairly well off of a long break. Frankie Dettori sees fit to ride here, and that combined with the tightener she got last time out could move her forward; #10 TOP OF THE TABLE (10-1): Tries turf for the first time and is bred to love it. Offspring of Flameaway seem to like the lawn, she’s out of a Kitten’s Joy mare, and she may not need to move forward much from her two-back try at Aqueduct, when she was beaten just a neck by a next-out winner.

R14

What’s Up Bro (MTO)
Salt Spray
Yarrow

#2 SALT SPRAY (4-1): Set a very fast pace in his return at Keeneland before fading to third behind Clear the Air, who’s proven to be a classy turf sprinter. This field seems a bit weaker, and if he sets those kind of fractions in the Saturday finale, I think he runs his opponents off their feet; #6 YARROW (5-1): Was beaten less than a length in his first start since July last time out, and that day’s winner, Mischievous Angel, is another that could have a promising future. This gelding loves Saratoga, has never been worse than third in four local outings, and is reunited with soon-to-be Hall of Fame jockey Joel Rosario; #10 TWENTY SIX BLACK (6-1): Makes his second start off the bench and steps up into open company after a win against New York-breds downstate. He’s 3-for-3 on Lasix, gets that medication in this spot, and could sit an ideal stalking trip just off the pace.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE: Analysis, Selections, And Bankroll (6/7/24)

BANKROLL

BANKROLL: $160

I host a podcast with my good friend Josh Rodriguez over on the “On the Wrong Lead” network. It’s called “Drank’n Champagne,” and this week, we took a look at Friday’s late Pick Four sequence.

I gave out a pretty cheap play there, and if you’re looking for extensive analysis of that sequence, you can get it by watching on YouTube or listening wherever you get your podcasts.

THURSDAY’S RESULTS: Romantic Charmer was rank throughout in the eighth. I dropped $40.

FRIDAY’S PLAY: My late Pick Four starts a bit later than I’d like for the purposes of this section, and I want to make sure my editors don’t miss print deadlines before Saturday’s card. As such, I’ll focus on the eighth race and my best bet of the day. That’s #6 EL CAPI, who hits me as a potential monster. I’ll have a $30 win bet on that one, and I’ll also use him to finish off a cold $20 double starting in the seventh with #4 MUNNYS GOLD.

TOTAL WAGERED: $50.

Winners and Whiners is your home for the best sports betting promos on the market. Check out expert handicapping picks for all major sports, including baseball, basketball, hockey, and football!

SELECTIONS/ANALYSIS

Best Bet: El Capi, Race 8
Longshot: Addicted to You, Race 3

R1

Rolling Along
Trulli Warrior
Pentathlon

#8 ROLLING ALONG (6-1): Has experience, unlike many other top contenders here, and exits a swiftly-run race at this distance over Woodbine’s synthetic surface. This barn excels with second-time starters, and this one adds both Lasix and blinkers in the Friday lid-lifter; #1 TRULLI WARRIOR (7/2): Is one of two first-time starters trained by Todd Pletcher, and this one’s bred to be a runner. This son of Curlin has a very strong bottom-side pedigree, too, and several of his recent works indicate he’s got plenty of talent; #3 PENTATHLON (12-1): Hasn’t run since October but caught two very tough fields before going to the sidelines. He improved considerably at second asking, is working consistently for Shug McGaughey, and could be a contender at a price if he’s ready to run.

R2

Arthur’s Ride
Leading Contender
Tapit Shoes

#1 ARTHUR’S RIDE (3-1): Comes in off of an absolute clunker that was too bad to be true. Maybe he bounced off of a fantastic two-back effort, maybe he just hated the slop, but either way, I think he comes back to form stretching out to a distance he’s bred to relish; #5 LEADING CONTENDER (5/2): Gets a big rider switch to Flavien Prat and generally fires the same shot every time out. That’s been enough to get him seven top-two finishes in nine career starts, but only two of those races are wins, and he’s burned a lot of money over the course of his career; #9 TAPIT SHOES (8-1): Came off the bench to top first-level allowance foes at Churchill in his first start since August. He’s listed as a first-time gelding in this spot, and this son of Tapit is another that’s bred to enjoy this 10-furlong trip.

R3

Storming Chrome (MTO)
Liar’s Poker
Addicted to You

#14 LIAR’S POKER (7/2): Needs two scratches to draw in but is a major player if he does. His lone misfire to date came in a stakes race against much tougher horses, and I think he’ll be fit to fire a big shot in his second start off a long break; #5 ADDICTED TO YOU (8-1): Is one of several exiting the same race on May 4th, and I think he ran very well to be third that day. There was no early speed in there, yet he came flying late to be beaten less than a length in his first start since November. There seems to be more speed signed on here, which should help him; #8 LORD FLINTSHIRE (6-1): Has a troubling aversion to winning and is just 1-for-23 in his career. However, he’s run second eight times, goes second off the bench for a strong barn, and ran well here twice a season ago against similar stock.

R4

Notah
Debate
Lucency

#4 NOTAH (9/2): Hasn’t run a bad race in any of his last five tries, and he’s never missed the board in four starts at this seven-furlong distance. The rider switch to Irad Ortiz, Jr., is a big one, and I think he could sit an ideal stalking trip; #8 DEBATE (3-1): Cuts back to one turn after a failed two-turn experiment last month. His two and three-back efforts going a mile at Aqueduct were fine, and a return to form makes him a major player; #9 LUCENCY (7/2): Just missed in a similar spot downstate and has every right to contend in this one. This is his second start since being claimed by a low-percentage outfit, though, so while his best race could win this, it’s fair to wonder if a regression is in the cards.

R5

Cees Get Degrees (MTO)
Boat’s a Rockin
Mischievous Angel

#5 BOAT’S A ROCKIN (8-1): Exits a much tougher spot on the Preakness undercard where he set the pace over a boggy turf course in his first start since November. He gets Lasix back for this one, and while I don’t think we’ll quite get the 8-1 morning line price, the last-out clunker may inflate his odds just a bit; #10 MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL (4-1): Came back running off the bench to top first-level allowance foes in his first run since August. Prat sees fit to ride back, and his lone loss to date came in a Grade 2 here last year, one won by the classy Carl Spackler; #3 CLEAR THE AIR (7/2): Ran second behind the ageless Bound for Nowhere last time out, and his two-back score in a turf sprint at Keeneland was sharp. This turned out to be a very tough spot for the level, but a repeat of that April 21 effort would put him right there.

R6

Top Conor (MTO)
Spirit Prince
Time Song

#6 SPIRIT PRINCE (7/2): Has a significant back class edge over most of these and will be a formidable foe if he’s ready off the bench. All but one of his five starts last year came against stakes foes, and he won one of those races (the Central Park at Aqueduct); #4 TIME SONG (12-1): Faltered as an 8/5 favorite in a stakes race at Gulfstream but gets some class relief in this spot. He also gets Lasix back, and his lone race with Lasix is by far his best effort; #9 ARMY OFFICER (9/2): Has taken steps forward in each career start and exits a strong second at Churchill last month. He’s got some tactical speed and attracts Frankie Dettori, who doesn’t ride for this barn that much.

R7

Munnys Gold
Sam’s Treasure
Roswell

#4 MUNNYS GOLD (6/5): Is probably the most likely winner on the Friday card. We haven’t seen her since a third-place finish in the Grade 1 Test, and she returns in a first-level allowance where she’ll be allowed to run with Lasix; #8 SAM’S TREASURE (8-1): Ran well in her 2024 debut, when she was second behind a next-out winner in her first start since September. Unlike many others in here, she can stalk the pace and pass others late, which could prove to be very valuable; #3 ROSWELL (5-1): Hasn’t run a poor race to date and cuts back in distance after 7 1/2 furlongs proved to be just a bit too far. Her two prior efforts at Gulfstream Park were solid, and a repeat of those performances would likely get her a piece of this one.

R8

El Capi
Brown entry
One Giant Leap

#6 EL CAPI (4-1): Looked like a monster in his unveiling, when he crushed an overmatched field at Aqueduct and earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure. We haven’t seen him since then, but he’s working steadily for a barn that can be pretty patient, and if he’s right, look out; BROWN ENTRY (5/2): I prefer #1 GENERAL PARTNER, who was second in last year’s Grade 1 Champagne before faltering in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s been working well ahead of his seasonal debut, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if this was a prep for a much bigger spot later this summer; #10 ONE GIANT LEAP (15-1): Likely lost his 2024 debut at the starting gate, as he was a non-factor as a 6/5 favorite after a slow break. His late-2023 form, however, was pretty strong, and I’m expecting, well, one giant leap forward for very capable connections at a juicy price.

R9

Roses for Debra
Gal in a Rush
Love Reigns

#6 ROSES FOR DEBRA (6/5): Came back running with a win in the Grade 3 Giant’s Causeway and is a very logical favorite in the Grade 2 Intercontinental. She went 2-for-2 here last year, including a win in the Grade 3 Caress, and seems the most likely winner and new Intercontinental Champion; #8 GAL IN A RUSH (10-1): Returned with a strong second in the License Fee downstate and got pretty good last year before going to the sidelines. Flavien Prat sees fit to ride back for Christophe Clement, who may very well run 1-2 in here; #10 LOVE REIGNS (3-1): Chased my top pick last time and figures to get plenty of pace to run at in her second start off the bench. She’s shown plenty of talent in the past, and this will be her first start without a layoff line in the form since mid-2022.

R10

Gina Romantica
Chili Flag
Coppice

#3 GINA ROMANTICA (3-1): Is one of five Chad Brown trainees in the Grade 1 Just A Game, and she cuts back to her preferred one-mile trip second off the bench. Unlike last time, in the Grade 1 Jenny Wiley, she should have some pace to chase, which is a must given her late-running style; #6 CHILI FLAG (4-1): Notched her third win in the last four starts in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile. Toss her dud three back at Gulfstream, and you have a classy mare that hasn’t done much wrong at all over the last year and a half; #4 COPPICE (3-1): Was a close-up second behind my second choice last time out at Churchill, and she might have needed that race off a long break. She ran with the likes of Inspiral and Nashwa overseas last year, and improvement is logical second off the bench.

R11

Didia
War Like Goddess
American Sonja

#3 DIDIA (9/2): Stretches back out to her preferred trip and gets a tepid nod in a wide-open renewal of the Grade 1 New York. She’s proven at this distance and should be able to sit an ideal stalking trip, which would give her first run turning for home; #10 WAR LIKE GODDESS (4-1): Has been a stalwart of the turf the last several years and makes her first start since last year’s Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Turf. She’s never been out of the exacta in five local starts, and she’s a major player if she’s ready to run; #5 AMERICAN SONJA (10-1): Ships in from Europe and attracts Frankie Dettori, which is always enough to merit consideration. She most recently captured a Group 3 in France, but she’s run fairly well stateside, too, having finished second in last year’s Grade 3 Saratoga Oaks.

R12

Thorpedo Anna
Just F Y I
Power Squeeze

#9 THORPEDO ANNA (8/5): Comes in off of an authoritative score in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks and looms large despite a tricky outside draw. She’s trained forwardly since that performance, and if she’s right, she’ll once again be a handful in the Grade 1 Acorn; #4 JUST F Y I (5/2): Gave my top pick a scare at the top of the stretch in the Oaks before finishing a best-of-the-rest second. This is her third start off the layoff, and the local drills are certainly eye-catching; #2 POWER SQUEEZE (12-1): Was never comfortable in the Oaks, where she broke next-to-last and had to navigate a sloppy track she may not have cared for. Prior to that clunker, she reeled off four straight wins, and the jockey switch to Javier Castellano could help her get back on track.

SARATOGA RACE COURSE: Analysis, Selections, And Bankroll (6/6/24)

BANKROLL

BANKROLL: $200

First and foremost, it’s fantastic to be back. I’m grateful to the management of The Saratogian and Raketech for allowing me to do this again, and I’m excited to get back into the swing of things during an exciting, history-making week in upstate New York.

If you’re new to this, a quick crash course: In addition to selections and analysis for every race, I’ve got a section where I can expound on money management and, hopefully, parlay my picks and thoughts into smart bets that make money. If the top-three picks are Handicapping 101, this is Handicapping 201. There’s no way to give picks and analysis that pleases everyone (thanks, horse racing Twitter!), but this way reaches wide groups of people with varying levels of experience, and it’s one that we’ve seen works over time.

For the summer meet, I’ll have a $1,000 bankroll to use over the 40-day schedule. I’m treating this as a separate endeavor and giving myself $200 over the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival. Let’s see what we can do.

THURSDAY’S PLAYS: We’ll head to the eighth race, where I think #1 ROMANTIC CHARMER has a big chance to improve in his first turf start against a field that includes multiple horses coming off of long layoffs. I’ll key that one in $5 exactas above and below #6 FILM ACADEMY, #7 ALL GOOD HERE, and #9 MISSION HILL, and I’ll also have a $10 win bet on him. As a reminder, bets in turf races assume those events stay on they grass, and surface changes cancel all tickets.

TOTAL WAGERED: $40.

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SELECTIONS/ANALYSIS

Best Bet: Three Echoes, Race 2
Longshot: Romantic Charmer, Race 8

R1

Drunk On Sake
Bookworm
Caesar’s Ghost

#5 DRUNK ON SAKE (8-1): Didn’t do much running in his career debut, but he takes a significant drop at second asking, adds both Lasix and blinkers, and could improve going to the turf. His pedigree says he’ll like the lawn, and that may be enough against a suspect group; #6 BOOKWORM (7/5): Will be a significant favorite, but I have my doubts. This is a strong barn, but the outfit is 0-for-12 with first-out maiden claimers going back to mid-July of 2022, and seeing a $150,000 purchase debut for a $40,000 tag is a red flag; #12 CAESAR’S GHOST (9/2): Needs some luck to draw in off the AE list, but he ran reasonably well in three turf races against maiden special weight foes. The layoff is a concern, but anything close to his last-out performance at Kentucky Downs would give him a big shot.

R2

Three Echoes
Touchy
Classic of Course

#5 THREE ECHOES (5/2): Got a lot of experience in his debut, when he overcame considerable trouble to win at first asking. That’s not something 2-year-olds often do, and I think he’s very well-meant coming into the Tremont; #7 TOUCHY (2-1): Debuts for Wesley Ward, who’s one of the best first-out trainers in the game. His works are strong, and there’s every reason to think he’s well-meant, but given his pedigree, I wonder if he wants a bit longer than this 5 1/2-furlong trip; #8 CLASSIC OF COURSE (7/2): Led every step of the way in his debut at Gulfstream and attracts Irad Ortiz, Jr. It’s unlikely another perfect trip will materialize here, but he certainly figures to be prominent from the start.

R3

Caldo Candy
Silver Satin
Land d’Oro

#2 CALDO CANDY (3-1): Has yet to run a truly bad race to this point and was a solid second at this level last time out downstate. That day’s winner came right back to win again, and the recent bullet drill over this surface is encouraging; #5 SILVER SATIN (5/2): Faces winners for the first time after graduating in a swiftly-run maiden race in April. He’s yet to run out of the exacta in three starts, and the step up in class may not be too much of a problem; #7 LAND D’ORO (4-1): Cuts back to seven furlongs after finishing second going a mile back in April. His lone win to date came at this distance, and the jockey switch to soon-to-be Hall of Fame rider Joel Rosario is a big one.

R4

Almostgone Rocket
Manama Gold
Becky’s Joker

#5 ALMOSTGONE ROCKET (6/5): Has been extremely impressive in two starts to date, including a first-level allowance score on Kentucky Oaks Day. Unlike many others in the Jersey Girl, she’s shown she doesn’t need the lead to run well, and she looms very, very large; #4 MANAMA GOLD (6-1): Went 3-for-3 in Dubai earlier this year, including a win in the Group 3 UAE Oaks. She hasn’t run since february, but her workouts are solid enough and she’s another that could be sitting just off of a very hot pace; #3 BECKY’S JOKER (8-1): Captured the Grade 3 Schuylerville last time out in her career unveiling, but went to the sidelines after a dud a few weeks later. She’s been working well for patient connections and could be another beneficiary of the likely race shape.

R5

In the End
Strictly Taboo
Heart of the Night

#6 IN THE END (9/2): Gets a tepid top pick in a turf sprint where I’m truly not in love with any runner. She, however, goes second off the bench and faces state-bred company for the first time, so there’s reason to believe she’ll move forward; #1 STRICTLY TABOO (3-1): Ran well at this level several times last year and gets reunited with Joel Rosario in her first try since October. Christophe Clement can get horses ready to run off the bench, and she’ll be a major player if she can overcome the inside draw; #9 HEART OF THE NIGHT (5-1): Comes east after starting her career in California and is another facing NY-breds for the first time. Her last two races weren’t anything to write home about, but her 2022 and early-2023 form is strong enough to merit consideration.

R6

Pletcher entry
She’s Wicked Smart
Silvology

PLETCHER ENTRY (6/5): Both #1 CHANTEUSE and #1A AUDACIOUS could win. It would appear they’ve worked in company the last few weeks, and they both draw top-class riders for their respective unveilings; #5 SHE’S WICKED SMART (4-1): Ran well when third in her debut last summer behind Just F Y I, who ultimately wound up becoming the top 2-year-old filly in the country. She’s been off more than nine months, but she’s worked steadily and has every right to be a good one; #2 SILVOLOGY (12-1): Has a very classy pedigree and fired a bullet drill downstate last week for a trainer that doesn’t often ask much of unraced horses. Most of the pedigree says she’d be a top-class turf horse, but she’s flashed enough potential to indicate she could factor in this dirt event at a price.

R7

Ways and Means
Miz Sense
Broderie

#7 WAYS AND MEANS (2/5): Exits the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks, where she was fourth behind Thorpedo Anna and may have been going a bit longer than she wants to run. The cutback to a mile should suit her perfectly, she gets Lasix for the first time, and the class relief is a big, big plus; #4 MIZ SENSE (8-1): Won first time out at this route, which is a tricky thing to do, and hasn’t been seen in the afternoon since she lost Manny Franco at the start of the Grade 1 Spinaway. She comes back for Pletcher here, while adding Lasix and Irad Ortiz, Jr.; #6 BRODERIE (10-1): Won a pair of restricted races in Florida before shipping to Aqueduct and finishing second at this distance. That day’s winner, Midtown Lights, is a solid runner, and this one may sit an ideal stalking trip.

R8

Iron Man Ira (MTO)
Romantic Charmer
Film Academy

#1 ROMANTIC CHARMER (8-1): Tries turf for the first time, and his pedigree says he’ll love it. He’s by Mendelssohn, out of a Langfuhr mare, and he may not have to move forward much off of his dirt races to win this (his last-out Beyer Speed Figure of 72 is the highest number in the main body of the field); #6 FILM ACADEMY (7/2): Has been off four months but stretches out in his first start since January for very strong connections. He was third in his career debut last summer over this turf course, and he may be on or near the lead in a race without much early zip; #9 MISSION HILL (4-1): Is one of several comebackers, having not run since a so-so fourth at this route in late-August. He’s been gelded since that effort, and a logical move forward would put him right there if he’s ready to run.

R9

Long Neck Paula
French Horn
Aoraki

#9 LONG NECK PAULA (2-1): Cruised to an easy win in her debut over 10 rivals at Keeneland and draws a cushy outside post in the Astoria. Her recent local drill was solid enough, and when Wesley Ward gets young horses on the right track, they tend to stay there; #3 FRENCH HORN (7/2): Wired the field in her debut over Woodbine’s synthetic track and sports a recent bullet drill that suggests dirt won’t be a problem here. Flavien Prat hops aboard this daughter of the mare Emma’s Encore, who gave H. Allen Jerkens his last Grade 1 win in the 2012 Prioress here at Saratoga; #2 AORAKI (5-1): Debuted with a win in a restricted race at Churchill Downs, but despite my concerns about what she beat, I have to admit she won the right way. The Steve Asmussen trainee showed some grit and passed others late, which isn’t the traditional winning trip for a first-time starter.

R10

Dai Vernon (MTO)
Siskany
The Grey Wizard

#12 SISKANY (1-1): Ships in for the Godolphin/Charles Appleby partnership, which has won some of America’s biggest turf races over the last few years. Also in tow is regular rider William Buick, who’s piloted this gelding to many of his 10 career wins (including last year’s renewal of this race, the Grade 2 Belmont Gold Cup); #11 THE GREY WIZARD (8-1): Goes third off the bench for Graham Motion and stepped forward when third in the Grade 3 Louisville last time out. He was second in this race a year ago and reunites with Hall of Fame jockey John Velazquez; #3 REALLY GOOD (15-1): Is one of several Mike Maker trainees in this field, and he comes in off of a win downstate. He won the Kent Stakes going long last year, and his plodding style may mean this two-mile distance is exactly what he wants.

Justify, The Hall Of Fame, Historical Context, And A Hard Answer

Earlier this week, the National Museum of Racing and Hall of Fame announced its 17 voting finalists for its 2024 class. Those with a vote (self included) will receive ballots soon, and the top vote-getters will be enshrined in Saratoga Springs this summer.

The most polarizing name on the list is Justify. Acting as though this is straightforward either way is naive at best and biased at worst, and when I tweeted that I had absolutely no idea what I was going to do with him, I wasn’t blowing smoke.

What do writers do when things get puzzling? We write through it. With that in mind, let’s discuss the 2018 Horse of the Year and a fascinating question: Is Justify a Hall of Famer?

– – – – –

It makes sense to start with a primer on why we’re here. The case for Justify is quite simple and can be summed up in four words: Undefeated Triple Crown winner.

Justify didn’t make a single start as a 2-year-old. Instead, he broke his maiden at first asking in January, won an allowance race, beat Bolt d’Oro to the wire in the Santa Anita Derby (more on that later), and became the 13th horse to sweep America’s three marquee races for 3-year-olds (and just the second since Affirmed did it 40 years earlier).

He was retired a few months after the Belmont Stakes, and a mild Horse of the Year debate ensued when Accelerate rampaged through California’s biggest races for older horses and annexed the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Before any member of the ever-present Bob Baffert fan club goes after me, I want it noted that I strongly believed Justify was the easy Horse of the Year choice (and wrote about it on this very website).

Most voters agreed. Justify won the trophy and went off to the breeding shed. However, in the past few years, new details have come to light about a positive drug test that came after the Santa Anita Derby. The California Horse Racing Board opted not to disqualify him due to environmental contamination, but in December of 2023 (nearly six years after the race), the Los Angeles County Superior Court ordered the CHRB to set aside their ruling, DQ Justify, and install Bolt d’Oro as the race’s winner.

Without the Kentucky Derby points he earned in the Santa Anita Derby, Justify would not have made the field on the first Saturday in May. Churchill Downs has said it has no plans to alter the results of the 2018 Kentucky Derby, but it’s not illogical to wonder if he should have been in the gate.

Additionally, Justify retired after the Belmont and never faced older horses. Not running in races such as the Breeders’ Cup Classic opened the door for another runner to be considered, by some, a viable threat for Horse of the Year, and in an age where horses don’t run as much, a longer career would have certainly been more appreciated by some in the voting bloc.

– – – – –

To try to make some sense of this, I dove into the history books. On Tuesday, I asked if any Hall of Fame horse carried as much “baggage” as Justify. When in doubt, some degree of precedent helps, and I wanted to see if there were any comparable situations.

The answer: Not really. A couple of horses went through strange situations before being immortalized. Grey Lag raced at age 13 against claimers after falling into the wrong hands. Bewitch’s signature win as a 2-year-old, over Calumet Farm stablemates Citation and Free America, may not have been entirely on the level. Safely Kept may not have made it into the Hall of Fame had Dayjur not jumped a shadow late in the 1990 Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Unfortunately, that list also includes Exceller, who was enshrined in 1999 (two years after being sent to the slaughterhouse).

Those stories, though, are pretty different from the one Justify carries, so no dice there. I was, however, able to find a few answers to the “never faced older horses” question.

For the most part, horses enshrined in the Hall of Fame have some longevity to them. However, Justify would be far from the first horse to go in having never faced older rivals. I count at least five honored horses who share that distinction. That list includes another Bob Baffert trainee, Point Given, as well as Tim Tam, Count Fleet, Colin, and, sadly, the ill-fated Ruffian.

That list mainly features horses who suffered career-ending injuries. Justify did require time off, but probably could have continued racing as a 4-year-old. However, as I’ve discussed time and time again on various platforms, the breeding industry is the tail that wags the dog in racing, and there was simply much more guaranteed money to be made sending Justify to stud.

(One quick note: I’m seeing some pro-Justify people support his case by mentioning his early success as a sire. One’s breeding career should have absolutely nothing to do with a Hall of Fame case. The Hall of Fame is for what happens from the starting gate to the wire, not for the results of activities in the breeding shed. Please stop.)

I’m fairly old-school. I like when horses run for long periods of time and do so at racing’s top level. Having said that, while Justify’s short career isn’t ideal, I also can’t hold it against him too much. Add in the likelihood of fellow six-time starter Flightline being a first-ballot Hall of Famer in a few years, and it’s entirely possible longevity just doesn’t matter much anymore.

– – – – –

A unique convergence of events makes this one of the weirdest Hall of Fame questions since the institution opened its doors in the 1950’s. Bob Baffert, of course, has dealt with multiple high-profile positive drug tests. In addition to Justify, a drug test on initial 2021 Kentucky Derby winner Medina Spirit showed betamethasone, and Gamine was disqualified from a third-place finish in the 2020 Kentucky Oaks due to the presence of that same substance.

Baffert is in the Hall of Fame. In addition to Point Given, other former Baffert trainees such as Arrogate, American Pharoah, Silverbulletday, and Silver Charm all have plaques in Saratoga, too.

To call the situation awkward would be an understatement. Nothing about this feels particularly clean. A “yes” vote seems ignorant of an awful lot of facts. A “no” vote…also seems ignorant of an awful lot of facts.

In the absence of much precedent (other than “a few horses with short careers are in”), I keep coming back to the decision made by Churchill Downs. That entity, which has made zero friends in the Baffert camp over the last several years, has opted not to revisit the results of the 2018 Kentucky Derby. Given everything that’s happened since Medina Spirit crossed the wire first in 2021, CDI doing that would have been far from shocking.

Without that race on Justify’s resume, he’s almost certainly not a Hall of Famer (perhaps that incentivizes his connections to run the horse as a 4-year-old, but that’s strictly hypothetical). It being there, however, pushes Justify to a level of rarified air. The previous 12 Triple Crown winners are all enshrined in the Hall of Fame. Only one, Seattle Slew, was also undefeated when he pulled it off.

No, it’s not pretty.

No, it’s not an easy decision.

No, anyone involved in the nearly-six-years-long process to figure out what happened with the post-Santa Anita Derby positive test, and how it should affect the result of the race, should not be involved in such a decision, at all, ever again.

Yes, Justify is a Hall of Famer.